Wednesday, April 29, 2015

An Update On Things Not Currently Happening

Since last Friday I've been dealing with a lot of "off-line" issues that have interfered with the kelly experiment, among other things.

I've been on new medications while coincidently experiencing poor health recently.  I'm not sure if the two are directly related but it has impacted my daily life and needs to be investigated further.  I've had trouble sleeping which further exascerbates my energy levels.

Added to that is a surprising development that my lease may now be terminated and I'll be forced to move.  (The owners want to renovate the space.)  If this happens, I'll be even more unavailable to work on the new content I've planned to launch.

I just have to take care of me right now.  The numbers will always be there to crunch at a later date.  The huge amount of uncertainty in my life right now is soul crushing to my motivation.  I know things will sort themselves out over time, eliminating the anxiousness.

Thanks for tuning in here if you've been following me over the years.  This is not a goodbye, just a BRB.

Monday, April 27, 2015

Kelly Index Wagering Results 4/24

A good night in NHL but overall resulted in a small loss.

4/24 starting bankroll:  0.94386

LA Clippers +172 L

Min. Wild  +125 W
Senators +144 W
NY Mets +124 L
Orioles -104 L
Tigers -130 L (POD)
Brewers +124 L
Diamondbacks +115 L
Rangers +164 L
Dodgers -114 W

Daily W-L:  3-7, -0.00909
Daily ROI:  -22.83%
Cumulative W-L:  162-206, -0.31523

Cumulative ROI:  -11.84%

Ending bankroll:  0.93477

Friday, April 24, 2015

Kelly Index Wagering Results 4/23

Another OT loss in NBA but a good baseball night results in an overall gain.

4/23 starting bankroll:  0.93016

Mil. Bucks +124 L

Cgy. Flames +133 L
TB Rays -105 W (POD)
Pirates -101 W
Phillies +104 L
Tigers +100 L
Rockies +101 W
Giants +114 W
Cardinals +120 W
A's +100 L
Orioles +110 L
Royals +139 W

Daily W-L:  6-6, +0.01370
Daily ROI:  +29.76
Cumulative W-L:  159-199, -0.30614

Cumulative ROI:  -11.68%

Ending bankroll:  0.94386

Kelly Index Wagering Results 4/22

A fair amount of winners, but my largest play on the Clippers lost in OT, resulting in a step backwards.

4/22 starting bankroll:  0.94883

LA Clippers -112 L (POD)
Min. Wild -135 L
Ducks +112 W
NY Yankees +158 W
White Sox +105 W
Marlins +119 W
Royals -152 L
Brewers +115 L
Diamondbacks -112 W
Astros +145 L
Giants +125 W

Daily W-L:  6-5, -0.01867
Daily ROI:  -36.74%
Cumulative W-L:  153-193, -0.31984
Cumulative ROI:  -12.42%


Ending bankroll:  0.93016

Monday, April 20, 2015

Kelly Index Wagering Results 4/20

Only 8 plays tonight but what a result.  It's rare things work out all to the good.

I have a lot of work away from my keyboard tomorrow so I may have to take a day off.

4/20 starting bankroll:  0.91091

NY Rangers -115 W

Ducks +122 W
Det. Tigers -115 W (POD)
Cubs +108 W
Reds +103 W
Padres +115 W
A's +134 W
Astros +145 W

Daily W-L:  8-0, +0.03792
Daily ROI:  +111.46%
Cumulative W-L:  147-188, -0.30117
Cumulative ROI:  -11.93%


Ending bankroll:  0.94883

Kelly Wagering Index Results 4/19

It was a fairly large schedule of games Sunday.  I split the playoff games and won enough overall to turn a small profit.

The model seems to favor dogs in general, I think I've had the Phillies almost every day this week.

4/19 starting bankroll:  0.90813

LA Clippers -106 W (POD)

Wsh. Capitals +127 L
Senators -120 L
Flames -115 W
TB Rays +107 L
Tigers -133 W
Braves +158 W
Marlins +163 L
Orioles +125 W
Brewers +155 L
Phillies +204 L
Twins +113 W
Royals +107 W
Padres +120 W
Rangers +149 L
Rockies +156 L
Reds +164 L


Daily W-L:  8-10, +0.00278
Daily ROI:  +2.89%
Cumulative W-L:  139-188, -0.33909
Cumulative ROI:  -13.61%


Ending bankroll:  0.91091

Sunday, April 19, 2015

Kelly Index Wagering Results 4/18

The start of NBA was not successful even though I only had two basketball wagers.  Overall a poor day and a new low point for the bankroll.

It seems I always get crushed on the Saturday schedule.  That could be some memory bias (as we all remember the soul crushing days) but it's been awhile since I can remember a great weekend.

I'm not feeling very energetic this week but I will try to keep up as best I can.  

4/18 starting bankroll:  0.93021

Mil. Bucks +309 L

Mavericks +180 L
Min. Wild +126 L
Red Wings +161 L
Penguins +161 W
Jets +126 L
TB Rays -103 L
Tigers -119 L (POD)
Braves +131 L
Phillies +154 W
Indians -102 W
Padres +101 L
Orioles +122 W
Diamondbacks +128 L
Rockies +169 L
Rangers +190 L

Daily W-L:  4-12, -0.02208
Daily ROI:  -31.57%
Cumulative W-L:  131-178, -0.34187
Cumulative ROI:  -14.28%


Ending bankroll:  0.90813

Friday, April 17, 2015

Kelly Index Wagering Results 4/17

Today the calculator liked all dogs on a mostly chalk evening.  I was swept in NHL.  NBA playoffs start tomorrow.

4/17 starting bankroll:  0.96649

NY Islanders +127 L

Senators +122 L
Flames +136 L
SD Padres +105 W (POD)
White Sox +159 L
Brewers +110 L
Braves +135 W
Phillies +214 L
Orioles +103 L
Astros +105 L
Rangers +137 W
Rockies +239 L
Diamondbacks +138 W

Daily W-L:  4-9, -0.03628
Daily ROI:  -55.52%
Cumulative W-L:  127-166, -0.31979
Cumulative ROI:  -13.76%


Ending bankroll:  0.93021

Kelly Index Wagering Results 4/16

The calculator loved all the dogs in NHL and it paid off handsomely, splitting again.  My largest 3 plays all won, leaving me with a comfortable profit.

4/16 starting bankroll:  0.94797

Pit. Penguins +158 L
Red Wings +149 W
Wild +128 W
Jets +125 L
KC Royals -113 L (POD)
Brewers +127 L
Phillies +118 L
Marlins +103 L
Diamondbacks +149 W

Daily W-L:  3-6, +0.01852
Daily ROI:  +59.09%
Cumulative W-L:  123-157, -0.28351
Cumulative ROI:  -12.55%


Ending bankroll:  0.96649

Wednesday, April 15, 2015

Kelly Index Wagering Results 4/15

I split the NHL games but finished well ahead as my larger plays won.  POD won on consecutive days for the first time since the first two days of the experiment.

4/15 starting bankroll:  0.93586

NY Islanders +127 W

Senators +133 L
Predators -110 L
Flames +130 W
TB Rays +140 L
Braves +112 L
Indians -115 W (POD)
Tigers +137 W
Phillies +127 L
Royals -120 L
Astros -109 W
Brewers +146 L
Rockies +108 W

Daily W-L:  6-7, +0.01211
Daily ROI:  +20.20%
Cumulative W-L:  120-151, -0.30203
Cumulative ROI:  -13.55%


Ending bankroll:  0.94797