Tuesday, September 27, 2011

Condia: Playing Without A Profit Motive?

This month the DFS community was all abuzz with the high volume play of Condia, who seems to be a football specialist.

By taking up so many games in the lobby, some of the bigger sites instituted a "Condia rule", which limits the amount of entries at buy ins below $50 or so.

Rotogrinders even has Condia at the top of their rankings. Curiously though, Condia did not score very well in week 2 or week 3, so I question whether he is even profitable at this point.

It also shows that the RG rankings are a complete sham. If a player places 4 top ten scores in a large field, only his top cash is counted. However, Condia could be losing big, but is still ranked #1 solely on his heads up volume. There is ZERO skill involved in that.

But the more interesting point is Condia's motive to play such a high volume. It appears that his bankroll actually surpasses what he might win in the future. In other words, there is a diminishing returns scenario facing Condia. Against the rake, it's unlikely he gets profitable once he has a bad week (which he's already experienced).

So why does he continue to play a large volume? It seems that he doesn't need the money. It seems he doesn't need to get even. It seems he doesn't want the attention, rarely chatting or corresponding with other players.

So I'm stumped at Condia's true motive for playing daily fantasy. He is an enigma wrapped in a riddle dipped in white chocolate.

As for me, I had a very small losing week in NFL, my first this season. I usually average 4 losing weeks each NFL season, so this is not uncommon. Hockey starts up next week and that will keep me very busy for the rest of the year.

2 comments:

Tuna said...

Isildur1 of daily fantasy lol!! I play high volume and have profited each week thus far.

Blinders said...

He is profit motivated. That's not saying he is profitable. He wants to be. It is a bit of trail by fire I guess